The 2014 Gartner Hype Cycle, an annual report plotting the rising expectation and enthusiasm (and subsequent disappointment and disillusionment) for emerging technologies was recently released, detailing the ascent and descent of a variety of connected health technologies and more.
The “Internet of Things,” the interconnection of unique identifiable embedded devices within the existing Internet infrastructure expected to usher in automation in nearly all fields and enabling advanced applications like a Smart Grid, is at the peak of the cycle, with the “trough of disillusionment” being filled with ideas like gamification (the idea that turning everyday tasks into games makes them more engaging), mobile health monitoring technologies, and big data.
However, not all technologies are destined to become obsolete once they reach the trough—following disillusionment are the “slope of enlightenment” and “plateau of productivity” where technologies that have matured enough to inspire more reasonable public expectations rise once more. The Gartner hype cycle is widely used and accepted in the tech community; according to Lee Rainie, the director of Pew Research Center’s Internet, “Even though the hype cycle is not specifically based on data, the judgment of Gartner analysts about the state of technology adoption often tracks with opinions of other elite observers. There are sometimes disputes about where on the curve any individual innovation might rest, but there have been few challenges to the general trends it outlines.”
What do you think about the hype cycle? Are there any technologies that you feel are in the wrong place? Let us know in the comments below or on Facebook or Twitter!